Well...that was a disappointingly short week for Tiger. One would normally call into question his reasoning behind not playing at the Memorial two weeks ago, although under these circumstances I can certainly understand it. He just never had anything going with any club, under any conditions.
Every single aspect of his game was WAY OFF. Starting with his course management. Gone are the days where he plays disciplined golf and hits only off the tee what he needs to. Why he hit driver on practically every hole is beyond me.
Tiger's taking himself out just fine without anyone else's help. He's +11, which means even if he birdies the 9th, he would miss the cut at +10 since Stricker is -1 and the cut will be +9 I think.
Actually, the current cut line is at +10, and I highly doubt anyone will get their score to -2.
Nonetheless, a birdie on 9 is a tall task, no matter who you are.
I may be in the minority here, but I enjoy tournaments where Tiger doesn't play (or, in the rare occasion, misses the cut). The networks tends to show every shot of his if he's playing, regardless of where he stands on the leaderboard.
Actually, the current cut line is at +10, and I highly doubt anyone will get their score to -2.
Nonetheless, a birdie on 9 is a tall task, no matter who you are.
How is it possible that it's at +10? I looked at the live scoring and you're right, the USGA's own site is saying it's projected to be +10. But currently that is a tie for 95th. The rule for cuts is top 60 and ties, plus anyone within 10 shots of the lead. The lead is -1 and will be no worse than -1 at the end of the day since Stricker is finished, so why are they projecting +10? Shouldn't it be +9 (10 higher than Stricker) since +10 is T95th right now? Maybe they're thinking T60 will eventually be +10 at the end of the day...I really don't know, but right now it seems that they're contradicting their own rule.
I could see it being +10. Right now there's a lot of guys just starting their rounds between the number of +4 and +9. You've got to figure a lot of those guys are going to back up a ton, and noone's going to come from behind +10 to get inside that number. Conditions are continuing to get tougher and scores are just going to keep soaring as the days go on. Heck, there's guys at +2 and +3 that might back up to +10, who knows.
As for Tiger, he doesn't have a chance to make it. And I said this last week, and continue to believe you're going to have somewhat of a surprise winner this week. I think Phil's driver can only take him so far. It's starting to punish him, and I think Phil is going to go backwards a little bit. I think Furyk's back is a question mark. Monty will fade. Not sure about Vijay. But I think a Geoff Ogilvy or a Mike Weir, although they're not huge surprises, could win this week.
Cut is at +10, there are 31 players in the clubhouse with better scores than Tiger, many guys this afternoon will have huge scores, still a chance for Tiger to make the cut.
June 16th, 2006, 02:00 PM
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