They were actually very good comparisons that jimmigan posted. They show that Wie bashers shouldn't be counting their chickens, considering Michelle has performed better in her first appearances, then the best players did in their first appearances.
That doesn't guarantee success, but it does show that people who write her off are very premature indeed.
Golf is not a Player A vs. Player B game. The statistics are interesting, sure, but I don't feel they tell us anything.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rodney_c
Where are you getting that info from? 197th.
Her 273.2 yards average from yesterday would actually be 190th on Tour:
All the players that Jimmigan mentioned were not able to compete in their first attempts, by your standards. She could very well be able to compete down the road.
But they had the potential to. Like I said, she just simply lacks the length to compete on Tour, it's that simple.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rodney_c
As regards the point for having her out there, it's because the sponsors know that she is good for ratings and thus good for them.
I understand that, of course. However, this is competitive golf.
You mentioned what you thought were meaningless stats.
Then you take Michelle's first round driving average, which is measured on 2 holes, and compare that to the pga tour average driving list, which is based on the whole season, do you think that gives an accurate stat?
Actually that stats tells nothing. If she had happened to knock out 2 of her longer drives on those 2 holes, then her average could be up near the top of the tour driving stats, but that wouldn't mean anthing either.
eg. her 2nd round of the Sony she averaged 300 yards, which would get 12th on the driving stats leaderboard.
And that's pretty meaningless really.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mr3856a
But they had the potential to. Like I said, she just simply lacks the length to compete on Tour, it's that simple.
She's long enough alright. Although, more length would certainly be an advantage, as it would to any player, and she has been working on that.
Let's put it this way, Monty averages about 285 yards, and he has done okay. She is about 275-280, she could do with 10 more yards, but at 16, she should get stronger.
It's quite simple really. It shows that Michelle Wie's best and worse scores through her first eleven PGA Tour rounds are in line with, if not a little better, than other ultimately successful PGA Tour players. Those nine are the only ones I looked up and with the exception of Tiger, I didn't have an inkling of how they had fared.
I understand it, I'm just not so sure it really tells us anything. I don't feel that the sample is big enough to have any great meaning.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmigan
She's 16 so I don't think she's maximized her driving distance potential by any means but her accuracy will be more of a determining factor of her ability to succeed on the PGA Tour than her length.
You're absolutely right, she certainly hasn't maxed out her distance potential. However, I'm not sure there are 20 yards laying around that she can eventually pick up, and I think that's the minimum she would need to pick up to really compete on the PGA Tour. As regards distance vs. accuracy, accuracy is great, sure, but it's become a bomb and gouge tour. The reality is, she is currently and will likely to continue to having to hit long(ish) irons into greens on all but the shortest PGA Tour courses, and her long game - at this point anyway - isn't very good.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmigan
She's already competing, look it up. If you mean she won't have any real success on the PGA Tour because she's a female, that's a common opinion.
She's playing. I was speaking of competing in terms of being a factor. My feelings about her ability to compete and/or have any real success on the PGA Tour stems from her golf game, not from her being a female.
Incidentally, her Total Driving from yesterday's round would put her 193rd on Tour in that category. I'm not sure about her other rounds she's played on Tour.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmigan
Indeed she may never have any real success on the PGA Tour, I just don't think it's written in stone as you seem to. And it doesn't matter how many times you state what will or won't happen in the future. You are definitely on the record with that opinion many times over.
I'm not saying it's written in stone, I just think the numbers bear it out at this point.
You mentioned what you thought were meaningless stats.
I think driving statistics a bit more meaningful than who-shot-what in their first X Tour events. There's no reason to get so upset.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rodney_c
She's long enough alright. Although, more length would certainly be an advantage, as it would to any player, and she has been working on that.
Let's put it this way, Monty averages about 285 yards, and he has done okay. She is about 275-280, she could do with 10 more yards, but at 16, she should get stronger.
Yes, she should, but she is not long enough, nor accurate enough. She did hit some nice short shots yesterday, but she needed them due to poor play from tee to green.
Let's see how she plays today - the pressure should be off.
Basically, in the first two rounds of the Sony in '04 and '05 as well as the John Deere last year, she was 10 yards shorter than the players who made the cut, about a club further back, give or take, and her approach shots were about 10 feet further away. It's actually more her GIR that stands out than her distance or driving accuracy.
In any event, this is a better sample. As you pointed out, one round surely isn't enough to judge on, but as I said, I think the numbers will bear it out overall.
Last edited by mr3856a : July 14th, 2006 at 02:42 PM.
I'm not saying it's written in stone, I just think the numbers bear it out at this point.
As demonstrated the numbers show that Wie is on pace with other golfers who became successful on the PGA Tour. The main difference in that comparison is that Wie is spotting them about 5 years .
I don't think any of them could shoot a 68 at the age of 14 and 15 on the PGA Tour.
As demonstrated the numbers show that Wie is on pace with other golfers who became successful on the PGA Tour. The main difference in that comparison is that Wie is spotting them about 5 years .
I don't think any of them could shoot a 68 at the age of 14 and 15 on the PGA Tour.
She's seemingly been around so long that many of her detractors don't want to hear about her age anymore, but it is still a very valid point and will continue to be for couple of more years. She's 16.
She's seemingly been around so long that many of her detractors don't want to hear about her age anymore, but it is still a very valid point and will continue to be for couple of more years. She's 16.
It certainly is a valid point, though - and looking at the LPGA Tour, this is clearly obvious - women/girls mature much faster than men. Top women's players in many sports - golf, tennis especially - are generally much younger than the top male players. Same goes for the up-and-comers.
Her age certainly is relevant - and certainly makes what she does all the more remarkable - but I do think when you declare yourself a professional it does diminish somewhat in terms of an excuse/reason for your play.
As demonstrated the numbers show that Wie is on pace with other golfers who became successful on the PGA Tour. The main difference in that comparison is that Wie is spotting them about 5 years .
I don't think any of them could shoot a 68 at the age of 14 and 15 on the PGA Tour.
Tiger was busy winning U.S. Junior and World Junior championships at that age. Not any less remarkable than one 68 and a whole bunch of upper-70's on Tour. I'd actually argue more impressive.
Tiger was busy winning U.S. Junior and World Junior championships at that age. Not any less remarkable than one 68 and a whole bunch of upper-70's on Tour. I'd actually argue more impressive.
Actually two 68's, a 70, and a 71, and whatever else.
It certainly is a valid point, though - and looking at the LPGA Tour, this is clearly obvious - women/girls mature much faster than men. Top women's players in many sports - golf, tennis especially - are generally much younger than the top male players. Same goes for the up-and-comers.
I am a big tennis fan, and I knew that the case that top women tennis players were younger than the top men is often stated, and I believed it was exagerated, so I looked up the ages of the top 10 players.
Average womens age: 25.0
Average mens age: 24.0
I was shocked by the results. I expected it to be closer than people thought. However I did not think that the exact opposite of what many people said is actually the truth.
I believed that the top women were slightly younger, than the top men.
So there it is: Men mature younger than women at tennis.
Who would've thought it?
Ages are stated for proof:
Rankings:
1 A. MAURESMO 27 years old
2 K. CLIJSTERS 23 years old
3 J. HENIN-HARDENNE 24 years old
4 M. SHARAPOVA 19 years old
5 N. PETROVA 24 years old
6 E. DEMENTIEVA 24 years old
7 S. KUZNETSOVA 21 years old
8 P. SCHNYDER 27 years old
9 M. PIERCE 31 years old
10 L. DAVENPORT 30 years old
Mens
1st Federer , R. 24 years old
2nd Nadal , R. 20 years old
3rd Nalbandian , D. 24 years old
4th Ljubicic , I. 27 years old
5th Davydenko , N. 25 years old
6th Blake , J. 26 years old
7th Ancic , M. 22 years old
8th Stepanek , R. 27 years old
9th Robredo , T. 24 years old
10th Baghdatis , M. 21 years old
Women mature physically probably 2-3 years sooner than men, so comparing Michelle to 18-19 year old males would be fair, IMO. The fact that there have been few young winners on the PGA tour in recent years is a fairly recent statistical anomoly, IMO. The fact that there have been a number of successful young gals recently can be attributed to a number of factors, the most prominent one being the large influx of great non-US golfers, mostly Korean. I wouldn't draw too many conclusions about the relative difficulty of acheiving success at a young age from recent events.
Ok, name the teenaged male grand slam winners... there must be more men than women who have won grand slams, right? After all, men mature younger.
So, let's have a look at that list:
1. Boris Becker
Um...
Um...
Going once, going twice...
2. Oh yeah, Michael Chiang
3. Edberg (19)
4. Wielander (19)
Now, women:
1. Sharapova
2. What's-her-name Williams
3. That other Williams
4. Martina Hingis
5. Monica Seles
6. Chris Evert
7. Steffi Graf
8. Vicario
9. Majoli
10. Henin-Hardenne
11. Hanna Mandlikova
12. Sabatini
13. Tracy Austin
14. Kuznetzova
Probably more, I stopped looking.
You really got me on that one.
Basically the same thing happened in tennis as is happening in golf. The womens side of it started at a low base. Then young players were able to get onto the relatively weak tour.
That is why alot of youngsters were able to break through. However about 5 years ago, quite a big number of youngsters broke through and got to the top. Then everyone thought, hey being a teenager is a big advantage in womens tennis. But it wasn't that, because these same women are still dominating at 23+ years of age, and it has become much more difficult for the youngsters to get near the top of the sport, because the womens tennis tour is actually at a quite decent level.
As regards gymnastics, that has nothing to do with golf.
In athletics, women often mature later. In the 5,000 metres for example, sometimes the medals are often all over 30. Also women sprinters can be fairly long in the tooth.