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Old July 19th, 2006, 08:08 PM
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colourblindchameleon colourblindchameleon is offline
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Open Odds...!

Who do you think looks good value for The Open this week ?



...you get 1/4 odds of a listed player for a first 5 finish before the Championship starts ! Then it usually reduces to 1/4 of the odds for a first 4 finish once it starts !

S.Appleby 40/1, J-M Olazabal 50/1, B.Langer 150/1, Khan 200/1 and rising star A.Romero 200/1...All look good `first five` players !

This is an `in-running` event, so a price should be available on the leading golfers for all four days! It`s interesting watching the prices fluctuate, even if you don`t have a punt/flutter !

For example Edfors was 125/1 on Sunday morning, before he teed off....and subsequently won at Loch Lomond, at the last European event !

Last edited by colourblindchameleon : July 19th, 2006 at 08:15 PM.
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Old July 19th, 2006, 10:08 PM
vossgl vossgl is offline
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Yeh the odds fascinate me as well. Some of the odds are so tempting for so many players. I tend to wait now until the first round is played, from there I have a better feel for form and conditions. Rumors here suggest Tiger's caddie has stacked a small fortune on him to WIN. Another one going around is Aussie Bradley Hughes may be a bit of a 'smokey' . Let's wait and see how it all unfolds. Good luck.
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Old July 19th, 2006, 10:57 PM
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london_geeza london_geeza is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by colourblindchameleon
Who do you think looks good value for The Open this week ?



...you get 1/4 odds of a listed player for a first 5 finish before the Championship starts ! Then it usually reduces to 1/4 of the odds for a first 4 finish once it starts !

S.Appleby 40/1, J-M Olazabal 50/1, B.Langer 150/1, Khan 200/1 and rising star A.Romero 200/1...All look good `first five` players !

This is an `in-running` event, so a price should be available on the leading golfers for all four days! It`s interesting watching the prices fluctuate, even if you don`t have a punt/flutter !

For example Edfors was 125/1 on Sunday morning, before he teed off....and subsequently won at Loch Lomond, at the last European event !
Tote are offering the best odds on most of the players this week, i only use Tote, William Hill and Ladbrokes, and on most of the outsiders, Tote was offering far better odds.
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Old July 20th, 2006, 09:31 AM
The Godfather The Godfather is offline
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Couple plays I like and went ahead and bet:

Luke Donald to win....I think this guy's ready. It's in England. He's playing really well. If there's a Euro that's going to win, this is it.

Goosen and Els in top 10....I think I bet Goose to finish in the top 10 in every major and win 9 times out of 10. Both were in a slump, but both last week showed signs of coming out of it with a decent week. Retief hasn't finished outside of a top-10 in the British since 2000.

Hole in One.....It's worth the 3/1 odds. Especially on a course that's as easy as this one.
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Old July 20th, 2006, 07:17 PM
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colourblindchameleon colourblindchameleon is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by london_geeza
Tote are offering the best odds on most of the players this week, i only use Tote, William Hill and Ladbrokes, and on most of the outsiders, Tote was offering far better odds.
london_geeza, I don`t use the tote & betfair etc because they don`t do yankees, canadians , trixies and patents etc ! Although, if purely outrights appeal, then the tote and betfair provide much better odds as you say !

Anyhow, I like to follow the stats, to see if any anomalies happen. Looking at the willhill site, odd....oddities turn up ! For example , right now Fred Funk is 125/1 and is 3 under par ! This course, and the way it`s playing lengthwise would suit Fred I would have thought, far more so than the other Majors. That represents over 30/1 for finishing fifth ! I rate him higher than they do !

Then Tom Lehman is 100/1 ,and he`s been playing well lately, and one of my favourites A.Romero is 125/1. It just goes to show, that if Tiger has a good round...the bookies disregard everyone else`s chances....!

Have a look at the site, and see if you too see similar oddities price wise, after round one !

Forgot to add - Morning tee times are usually the calmist time to play links golf ! Which puts Tiger in a good position as he`s played his late tee time already. So the best odds/weighting has to come from other players who are also starting early tomorrow, but are currently highly priced.

Last edited by colourblindchameleon : July 20th, 2006 at 07:37 PM.
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Old July 21st, 2006, 12:14 PM
The Godfather The Godfather is offline
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Well, my bet on Ernie and Goose is looking good. After all, Goose hasn't finished outside of the top-10 it the British since Clinton was in office. But Luke, oh Luke. What happened to thee? Still crossing my fingers for the hole-in-one. Too bad they couldn't count Tigers shot as a hole in one.
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Old July 21st, 2006, 02:37 PM
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london_geeza london_geeza is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Godfather
Well, my bet on Ernie and Goose is looking good. After all, Goose hasn't finished outside of the top-10 it the British since Clinton was in office. But Luke, oh Luke. What happened to thee? Still crossing my fingers for the hole-in-one. Too bad they couldn't count Tigers shot as a hole in one.
there was a hole in one today, cant remember who got it though.
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Old July 21st, 2006, 11:29 PM
stlcard_25 stlcard_25 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by london_geeza
there was a hole in one today, cant remember who got it though.
It was Richard Sterne, on the 15th.

http://javascript.opengolf.com/score...PlayerNo=30715
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