not bad, i see a first time winner winning this. i like your sergio pick, he's hot right now. i think after the masters he started getting almost in the top 10 in every tournament he played in. i'm guessing tiger woods was the favorite? i bet on adam scott, sergio, and kj choi. like i said i see a first timer winning this or i'm pulling for one.
I just don't think Tiger can take 2 months off, having surgery, admitting his knee isn't 100% yet, and win.
I still think Tiger probably has a better chance than anyone of winning, but that doesn't make it a good bet.
Usually, betting on favorites is a sucker bet. The odds aren't set so much on the real chances of winning, but on the expected action on bets to make sure the house makes a profit. I don't think there is any way Mickelson has the 1 in 8 chance of winning that his 7-1 odds suggest.
Anyone else catch Sportscenter this morning? They tried to predict this year's winner by looking back:
Last amateur won it in the 1930s, so they ruled any amateurs out.
Last year's winner and several other categories were ruled out as well leaving five or six names: Tiger, Phil, Vijay, Mike Wier, one or two others I can't remember.
It turns out the average age of past winners is 32, which happens to be Tiger's age.
i know right.. my wife was going yesterday so i got to watch it - she is home tonight but leaves sat am till late sun so i am set - now if i can find some kid in the neiborhood to mow and paint the bathroom down stairs i am set!
go ernie, i gotta say he is playing great for someone that's been off for the past couple of months..........**** he's in contention so he's playing great overall!